Amine Ayoub

The UAE just quit OPEC. The US and Israel should be paying attention

Cartel membership came with Arab political expectations. Independence from it comes with Arab political freedom.

Bahrain's citizenship purge exposes Iran's most dangerous weapon

Bahrain is battling the network of citizens, residents, and IRGC-cultivated operatives embedded inside Bahraini society who passed targeting intelligence to Tehran while the attacks were still ongoing. Iran has spent decades cultivating this 5th column - and not just in Bahrain. Op-ed.

Pakistan has no incentive to close this Deal

A successfully concluded, permanent deal ends the lucrative Saudi bailouts, American military contracts, high profile presidential phone calls - and Pakistan was never bombed so it feels no urgency. Opinion.

Turkey's economic takeover of Syria has already begun

What is unfolding is the systematic embedding of Turkish institutional infrastructure into Syrian economic life at a moment when Damascus is too weak, too dependent, and too ideologically aligned with Ankara to resist. Opinion.

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base:

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base: A gift to ISIS or a green light for Turkish expansion?

However you look at it, the reality on the ground suggests a volatile outcome. Opinion.

Beyond the Buffer:

Beyond the Buffer: Why South Lebanon demands a new strategic logic

An adversary that does not accept the permanence of the opposing state does not experience a ceasefire as a settlement. It experiences it as a reloading interval. Israel must act in accordance with that unpleasant truth. Opinion.

Strategic Drift:

The danger of inconsistent American messaging on Iran

What is missing, and what Israel's own experience of deterrence theory makes painfully legible, is a victory doctrine. Opinion.

The Homs Tunnels and the myth of Syrian neutrality

Western reconstruction funds and diplomatic recognition must not precede verifiable proof that Iranian smuggling networks have been permanently dismantled. The proclaimed neutrality of Ahmed al-Sharaa is a diplomatic posture, not an operational reality. Opinion.

Turkey’s Final Descent Into Autocracy:

Erdogan's digital Iron Curtain

With its new ruling, Turkey can be called 'a consolidated autocracy utilizing 21st-century technology to enforce a level of societal control reminiscent of medieval absolutism.' Opinion.

Another reason to fight to the finish:

The Iran and Sudan Connection: A new Empire crosses the Red Sea

Iran is great at turning battlefields into bases for its ideology, and Sudan's military culture is soaking this up. If no one stops them, they will control the Red Sea and Khartoum will host permanent Iranian drone teams, electronic spying stations, and naval advisors reaching deep into Africa's interior.

Sisi’s High-Wire Act:

Sisi’s High-Wire Act: Can Egypt survive a victorious Israel and a weakened Iran?

Egypt faces a classic lose-lose proposition. And once the indispensable Arab mediator, Cairo now watches its traditional leverage erode. What will it do? Opinion.

The Strait of Trump:

The Strait of Trump: A strategic imperative for Israel and the Free World

The US must counter Iran’s brazen plan to impose a permanent Hormuz Toll, extorting millions from every commercial vessel seeking safe passage through the Persian Gulf. Opinion.

From Neutrality to Necessity:

From Neutrality to Necessity: The Gulf’s "Turning Point" must cement a Middle East NATO

The Abraham Accords laid the economic and diplomatic groundwork, but the crucible of the current war has forged the true alliance, as Iran attacks GCC states. Opinion.

Iran's Succession Void:

Mojtaba Khamenei’s public silence is the Coalition’s greatest tactical opening

The primary, overarching target is the regime’s very claim to absolute authority. The coalition’s most potent tactical opening lies precisely in the exploitation of this glaring succession void. Opinion.

The Rafah Gamble:

Reopening the Egypt-Gaza border during the Iran War is a high-stakes security test

By reopening Rafah now, Israel risks providing the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) with a logistical reset button. Opinion.

The Salalah Port Attack:

The Salalah Port Attack: Alienating Oman and dooming the Resistance Axis

Iran shattered the carefully cultivated myth of Omani exceptionalism, the one diplomatic card Tehran played for decades to shield itself from total Gulf isolation. Opinion.

The EastMed Trap:

How the Cairo-Ankara military rapprochement threatens Israeli energy security

While Israel and the US are concentrating on Iran, a Turkish-Egyptian earthquake is about to erupt that may put the crucial EastMed Gas Forum at risk. Opinion.

Sudan’s Terror Fusion:

The Iran-Brotherhood Nexus and the global threat to energy security

Do you know that for three decades the Brotherhood governed Sudan through the National Congress Party? It hosted Osama bin Laden from 1991 to 1996, constructed Sudan’s military-industrial complex with Iranian assistance, and exported jihadist ideology across Africa. It now chokes oil transport at Bab el-Mandeb. Op-ed.

Qatar’s shield is broken:

Qatar’s shield is broken: Israel’s window to bankrupt Hamas permanently

Tehran, perhaps unintentionally, has permanently dismantled the illusion of Qatari diplomatic immunity. The era of tolerating Qatari two-faced hypocrisy should end forthwith. Opinion.

Iran Is killing Saudis while MBS begs it to stop

MBS is paralyzed. When will he realize that the only way out is immediate normalization with Israel instead of his continued groveling to Iran? Opinion.

From Gaza Bribes to Sahel Bullets:

The Islamist adapt-or-die strategy after Iran’s defeat

We may decapitate the Islamic Jihad sponsor, but its franchises are improvising in Gaza and the Sahel. The IRGC may be reeling, but its ideology is entrepreneurial and the West's response must be immediate, surgical and relentless. Opinion.

Subsidizing Slaughter:

Why the Palestinian Authority is the greatest obstacle to regional peace

Western funds intended for civic institution-building are actively being manipulated to sustain a massive, hidden infrastructure that financially rewards past and present terror attacks. Op-ed.

Mojtaba Khamenei’s “Election" Changes Nothing:

The campaign to end the Islamic Republic must accelerate

Mojtaba’s elevation changes nothing about the regime’s nature. It simply reveals its weakness. Opinion.

Turkey removes its mask:

NATO’s Islamist ally chose Tehran over Washington

Erdogan mourns Khamenei while blocking US bases. His behavior is that of a state sponsor of terrorism. Opinion.

Operation Roaring Lion:

Why the Beit Shemesh massacre proves 'restraint' is a Death Sentence

This cruel strike is a stark reminder that no city in Israel is safe so long as Tehran’s missile infrastructure remains intact. Opinion.

The "Artesh-IRGC Divorce":

The "Artesh-IRGC Divorce": How to weaponize Iran’s 14% desertion rate

While the Revolutionary Guards are unconditionally loyal to the Supreme Leader, the Artesh, Iran's regular army, has historically viewed itself as the defender of the Iranian nation. Opinion.

The Great Jihadist Jailbreak:

How the West’s "Compassion Fatigue" reanimated the ISIS Caliphate

After closing the Al-Hol camp, we are witnessing the birth of a "Ghost Caliphate," where radicalized operatives with no identifiable paper trail are migrating toward the world’s most vulnerable security rifts. Opinion.

The Death of the 1967 Illusion:

"Greater Israel" rhetoric is the key to peace

Killing the illusion of 1967 can start the only peace process that has a chance of succeeding. Opinion.

Phase 2 of Trump's Peace Plan:

A Gaza Peace without disarmament is just a countdown to the next October 7

The 60-day window given by the Israeli cabinet is not an "ultimatum" to be negotiated; it is a reality check for the international community. Opinion.

The Sovereignty Shift:

Why Land Registration in Judea and Samaria is the key to regional stability

By removing these territories from the "negotiating table" of the failed Oslo framework, Israel is forcing a shift in Palestinian Arab psychology. Opinion.

The Warlord’s Peace:

Why Gaza’s clans are the missing piece of the victory puzzle

A choice is being forced upon the Gazan street: side with the ideology that brought ruin, or side with the local strongmen who can provide security, trade, and survival. Opinion.

The Oxfam Exodus:

When the ‘Genocide’ narrative becomes too heavy to carry

Major international NGOs like Oxfam, once dedicated to the impartial relief of suffering, have been transformed into narrative laundries. Opinion.

Israel's legal option:

Israel must legally sunset the 'Refugee' myth by equating Gaza with Baghdad

The Palestinian Arab 'refugee' issue is not a humanitarian tragedy; it is a manufactured industry designed to facilitate the destruction of the Jewish state. We must stop asking "How do we reform UNRWA?" and start asking "How do we sunset it?" Opinion.

The Araghchi Doctrine:

The Araghchi Doctrine: Why a 'Good Atmosphere' in Oman means death for regional stability

As Netanyahu tries to convince Trump of the 'Muscat Trap' in an agreement with Iran, Israelis must be made clearly aware that ballistic missiles left intact are a death warrant. Opinion.

The “Bristol Precedent"

When a UK Jury excused vandalism against an Israeli target

When jurors choose to acquit not because the accused are innocent, but because they sympathize with their motives, the law has no meaning. Opinion.

The Mavi Vatan Doctrine:

Beware the Saudi-Turkish naval axis

How the Saudi-Turkish naval axis is dismantling the Abraham Accords architecture as the synergy between Saudi financial weight and Turkish expeditionary power creates a multi-theater security challenge. Analysis.

The End of Diplomacy:

The End of Diplomacy: Tehran just declared war on every soldier in Europe

The U.S. and its European allies must fight fire with fire, recalling ambassadors, triggering the full return of all United Nations sanctions, and more. Opinion.

Beyond the Last Hostage:

Israel risks losing the strategic endgame in Gaza

Peace is not a product of conferences or signatures; it is the result of the enemy accepting that they have lost. Only once the foundational concept of Israeli victory is accepted can any discussion about the future relationship begin. Opinion.

Amine Ayoub:

The "Board of Peace" Gaza Plan is a recipe for Hamas’s revival

Real peace is never made with active enemies who believe they can wait out their opponents; it is made only with former enemies who have been unequivocally defeated. Opinion.

Dollar or Drones:

Dollar or Drones: Trump moves to cut off Iran’s Iraqi lifeline

Washington is making the cost of Iraqi Iranian alignment unavoidable. Opinion.